𝐀𝐧𝐧𝐚 𝐊𝐨𝐦𝐬𝐚 🇪🇺🇵🇱🇺🇦 Profile picture
⮕📍@tweet4Anna_NAFO | Inter. Affairs & Intercultural Nego. Eastern 🇪🇺 |(Geo)politics|⮕ @wildhornets | Tracking Russia's collapse | #NAFO 是一場風暴, 中國是氣候變化
Sep 16 9 tweets 4 min read
🔥 TWO MORE REFINERIES DOWN

Syzran + Saratov

Combined capacity: 15.5M tonnes/year

Processing: ZERO

Trump will be pleased🧵 🔥 Syzran is completely out of primary refining capacity.

Its main unit — 71% of the refinery — was damaged in the September 15 strike and repairs are expected to take at least a month.

The other 29%?
It was already under repair after an earlier Ukrainian strike.

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Sep 15 7 tweets 3 min read
🔥🧵 Half of russia’s top diesel refineries are now down or crippled. 🔥 Just 6 refineries produce ~50% of all russian diesel.

Now 3 of those 6 are either shut or running at a fraction of capacity after Ukrainian strikes.

🔻 KINEF — completely halted
🔻 Volgograd — output down several-fold
🔻 NORSI — output down several-fold

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Sep 15 8 tweets 4 min read
🔥 Bad news for Trump: Ukraine just hit russia’s Syzran refinery. Again. 🔥 🇷🇺 politician Demushkin:

"Putin meets with the Industry & Trade Minister. He tells him industry is growing, everything is fantastic.

The next day, Rosstat reports 0 growth.

What kind of growth can there be? We’ve reached the ceiling. From now on, there’s only decline."

2/
Sep 14 4 tweets 2 min read
Peskov just refused to say Russia would stop bombing Ukraine’s energy and food infrastructure — even if Ukraine stops hitting russian diesel.

Trump demands unilateral restraint from Kyiv.

Moscow won’t even fake a promise. Same briefing Peskov openly claims the right to strike anything, anywhere in Ukraine

Asked about the drone that nearly hit an EU diplomatic train near Poland:

“Our military carries out its tasks throughout Ukraine & will continue to do so.”

Meanwhile Trump asks Ukraine to stop
Sep 13 5 tweets 2 min read
🔥Trump: “Zelensky has to stop knocking out diesel fuel in Russia. This isn’t the Middle East.”

Meanwhile, his Iran war:

▪️Shut Hormuz
▪️Knocked out 20%+ of Middle East refining
▪️NEW — Reuters: another 4% of global oil at risk

russia’s favourite American wants Ukraine to stop 🔥 “Mr. Zelensky has to stop knocking out diesel fuel in Russia.” — Trump

Meanwhile Ukraine just hit TANECO + Slavyansk-na-Kubani.

russia already has km-long fuel queues.

Should Ukraine stop hitting the fuel that funds the war because diesel is expensive in Florida ?
Sep 12 6 tweets 3 min read
🔥 russia had a very bad night.

Ukraine hit across multiple fronts:

▪️ Taganrog-Central military airfield
▪️ TAGAZ drone-production facilities
▪️ KuibyshevAzot chemical plant
▪️ Energy infrastructure in occupied Donetsk
▪️ Sanctioned shadow-fleet vessels off Sochi

1/ 🔥 Taganrog-Central military airfield, home to the 708th Military Transport Aviation Regiment, was hit.

TAGAZ was also struck. Its facilities are used to produce drones for the russian army. A fire broke out and a tank is burning. 🇺🇦

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Sep 12 4 tweets 2 min read
🇷🇺 ⛽️ Russian Orthodox Church: "All we can do is hope for a miracle." 🇷🇺 St. Petersburg.

The miracle hasn’t arrived.
Sep 11 7 tweets 4 min read
🔥 Not Trump.
Not Hitler.
Not Osama bin Laden.

Oleg Kashin:

“No one has weakened russia like Putin.”

1/ 🔥 russia could remain without nearly a THIRD of its oil refining for another 18 months.

IEA cuts its outlook to just 4M barrels/day — 30% below pre-war levels.
This summer, processing collapsed to just 3.5M bpd — down ~38%.

2/
Sep 10 4 tweets 2 min read
🔥 RYAZAN IS DOWN. Third time this year.
17 million tonnes. Moscow’s fuel

1/ 🔥 RYAZAN REFINERY: 71% OF CAPACITY HIT

Reuters: processing has stopped.

Two units representing 71% of the entire plant are down. Another 18% was already offline.

Ryazan processes 17M tonnes/year and produces 2M+ tonnes of gasoline & 3M+ tonnes of diesel annually.

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Sep 10 7 tweets 4 min read
🔥 Zelensky to russia: “3,000 km isn’t the limit.” Ukraine just proved it.

1/ 🔥 Deepest strike of the war — 3,000+ km

🇺🇦 SOF hit 2 major gas-condensate plants in Yamalo-Nenets: Novy Urengoy & Purovsky.

• Novy Urengoy: ~19.5M tonnes/year
• Purovsky: ~13.4M tonnes processed in 2025

Until yesterday this was considered completely safe Russian rear.

2/
Sep 8 17 tweets 8 min read
🔥 Ukraine’s Zelensky: “We’ll increase the range & frequency of sanctions.”

🧵 1/ 🔥 The Economist’s Warning: Six Months Left

If the war doesn’t end by the close of 2026, russia faces an economic crisis worse than the 1998 default.

Collapsing oil revenues, record military spending, capital flight and structural shortages are accelerating the crisis.

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Sep 4 14 tweets 7 min read
🔥 Ukraine’s Zelenskyy: russia must “cry out in pain.”

1/ 🔥 Bloomberg: russia’s oil & gas budget revenues hit 6-month low

August: ₽424B — down 43% vs March–July average.

Net oil revenue: $3.76B, −22% YoY.

Jan–Aug: ₽5.02T, −17% YoY — just 56% of the annual target.

Meanwhile, refinery subsidies cost ₽304.6B in August alone.

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Aug 29 13 tweets 6 min read
🔥 Ukraine’s Zelensky: “We plan to go from 300 to 1,000 drones per day.”

🧵 1/11 🔥 August record: Ukraine hits 4 of russia’s top-10 refineries

Bloomberg: 21 attacks this month.
Gasoline output & domestic supply fell nearly 20% YoY in August’s first 3 weeks; diesel >23%.

Throughput: ~3.8M b/d — near a 20-year low vs 5.3–5.5M normally in summer.

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Aug 26 12 tweets 7 min read
🔥 Ukraine’s Zelensky:

“For 27 years, Putin talked about russia's greatness. Now russians are lining up for gasoline.”

🧵 1/8 🔥 All of Lukoil’s major 🇷🇺 refineries are now offline

• Volgograd — 31 July
• Perm — 21 Aug
• NORSI/Kstovo — halted 26 Aug

NORSI alone: 15M t/year, Russia’s 4th-largest refinery and 2nd-largest gasoline producer

Lukoil major refining base is down due to 🇺🇦 strikes

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Aug 26 7 tweets 3 min read
🔥 Ukraine just hit russia’s 4th-largest refinery — Lukoil’s largest.

17M tonnes/year.

A key fuel supplier to russia’s central regions and the defense industry.

1/6 🔥 Kstovo — Nizhny Novgorod
Overnight drones hit

Lukoil-Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez.
Capacity: ~17M tonnes of crude/year.

The refinery produces gasoline, diesel, aviation fuel, lubricants and other petroleum products.

Another major node in russia’s refining system is burning

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Aug 19 10 tweets 5 min read
🔥 Zelensky: Every russian strike will have a response.

Beyond kinetic sanctions, Ukraine keeps hitting them where it hurts — the economy.

🧵 1/9 🔥 Belarus & India fail to plug russia’s fuel gap: 70% of 🇷🇺 gas stations are out of gasoline

Fuel availability collapsed from 41% to 28.1% in one week (Volgograd, Chelyabinsk, Orenburg, Voronezh, Samara & Rostov hit hardest.)

The refinery crisis reaches the real economy.

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Aug 18 9 tweets 4 min read
🔥Ukraine pushes russia’s fuel crisis to the brink: “the countdown is in days”

1/6 🔥 Reuters: second wave of fuel shortages sweeps across russia

Regions have tightened petrol sales, with gasoline unavailable at some Moscow-region stations. Orenburg, Lipetsk, Tver and Krasnodar are among the areas facing difficulties.

The summer improvements were brief.

2/6
Aug 17 16 tweets 8 min read
🔥 Ukraine's Madyar to russia: "Wildberries won't make it past Sept."

🧵 1/14
🔥 Deep-strike campaign tripled in 6 months

~110 deep strikes (>200 km) in July 2026 vs ~35 in January. Monthly totals have risen from under 20 in 2024 to >100. A growing share now reaches

500–1,000+ km, hitting refineries, storage, export infrastructure and air defenses.

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Aug 16 11 tweets 6 min read
🔥 russia’s war against Ukraine: refining hits a 24-year low.

🧵 1/10 🔥 Ukraine is on pace to break its record for deep strikes this month.

In just two weeks:
• 11/34 major refineries
• Progress space plant in Samara
• Novorossiysk oil + 3 grain terminals halted
• Ust-Luga oil port
• Orenburg fuel trains

The campaign is accelerating.

2/10
Aug 15 23 tweets 11 min read
🔥 Ukraine’s Zelensky: “This war will increasingly be felt inside russia.”

🧵 1/21 🔥russia’s budget deficit: January–July 2026 deficit already exceeds the entire 2025 shortfall of ₽5.625T ($66.8B).

Oil & gas revenues brought in only ₽4.595T ($54.6B) — barely half of 2025’s full-year take.

War spending remains elevated while the revenue base erodes.

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Aug 11 16 tweets 7 min read
🔥 Ukraine’s Zelensky to russia: “Siberia is now within our reach. More deep strikes are coming.”

🧵 1/14 🔥Two major refineries hit in one wave

Ilsky (Krasnodar, 6.6M tons/year) — fire confirmed, supplies fuel and lubricants to the Russian army.
Syzran (Samara, Rosneft, ~8.5M tons capacity) — primary processing unit & tanks hit.

Both are legitimate military-linked targets.

2/14